| Foreign exchange is the
single largest market in the world. More than USD 1.4 trillion is
traded in the FX market each day, according to the Bank of International
Settlements, which monitors FX market activity.
To put this figure in perspective, the sum total of global trade
in physical goods in one year accounts for the same amount of trade
as a few days in the foreign exchange market. Hence the FX market
is much, much bigger than all the other markets put together.
Foreign exchange markets allow participants to exchange one
currency for another. One counter party buys specified currency
from the other counter party in exchange for another currency.
The relative amount of the two currencies is determined by
the foreign exchange rate between the 2 currencies. Foreign
exchange is traded over-the-counter (OTC), operating worldwide,
24 hours a day.
In the FX market, trades can be executed in variable amounts,
dates and denominations. There are no standardized contract
sizes or dates.
Ondon is the world’s largest FX trading centre, followed
by New York and Singapore. Trading tends to occur in a center
during its normal working hours. As a result, trading starts
in Asia, then moves to London at the end of the Asian working
day and continues in New York at the end of the working day
in London.
Fx markets are driven by a number of factors, such as economic
fundamentals, the current demand for particular currencies,
news events and market sentiment. Many short-term changes
in exchange rates are a result of what the market expects
to happen to economies or as a result of market sentiment.
Dealers may believe that a currency will move in one particular
direction based on factors such as:
-
What the charts are showing – what
has the recent trend been?
-
What dealers in the market are saying?
-
Whether or not the market is long or short
- how the market is feeling
-
What the central banks are doing
-
Whether the dealer has made or lost money
recently
Dealers act in anticipation of or an actual news of the markets.
Rumours too have a powerful effect on the market. It is often
the case that the market reacts to a rumour as if it is an
established fact – once the rumour is confirmed or denied
the market settles down. The way the markets react to rumours
is summarized by the phrase: Buy the rumour: sell the fact.
Precious metals
For thousands of years, gold has been prized for its
rarity, its beauty, and above all, for its unique characteristics
as a store of value. Nations may rise and fall, currencies
come and go, but gold endures. In today's uncertain
climate, many investors turn to gold because it is a
"currency without borders" - an important and secure
asset that can be tapped at any time, under virtually
any circumstances. But there is another side to gold
that is equally important, and that is its day-to-day
performance as a stabilizing influence for investment
portfolios. These advantages are currently attracting
considerable attention from financial professionals
and sophisticated investors worldwide.
Historical investment performance of the precious metals
sector:
-
Gold’s high aboveground stocks,
relative to other commodities produced primarily for
consumption, highlights gold’s role as a monetary
asset.
-
Gold’s success as a monetary
asset depends on the strength of competing world currencies.
Real interest rates, geopolitical risks, and confidence
in government are key issues, which define gold’s
performance relative to currencies.
-
Gold’s more complex fundamentals
mean that gold can hedge against a richer set of risks,
including risks related to currency instability, which
may or may not accompany periods of high inflation.
-
The most aggressive case for gold
allocations occur when gold rises in terms of all
major currencies, indicating gold’s higher relative
attractiveness to currencies as a monetary asset.
-
The conventional wisdom regarding
gold is misplaced. The recent overshadowing of monetary
aspects by supply and demand factors has led some
market participants to conclude that gold is no longer
a monetary asset. Gold still functions as a monetary
asset, although it has not fared well against competing
currencies in recent history. That gold’s monetary
role is currently dormant does not mean that is has
permanently ceased. Monetary/non-monetary paradigm
remains useful to distinguish gold from other commodity
groups. Relative to annual production, gold’s
high aboveground stocks (held as a store of value)
reinforces its monetary role. Gold cannot simply be
lumped together with other investments such as agricultural,
energy, food, and livestock products as “commodity
investments.”
Gold’s more complex fundamentals mean that gold
can hedge against a richer set of risks, including
risks related to currency instability that may or
may not accompany periods of high inflation. The most
aggressive case for gold allocations occur when gold
rises in terms of all major currencies, indicating
gold’s higher relative attractiveness to currencies
as a monetary asset.
Spot traders usually specialize in a specific currency pair
such as UDS/CHF, GBP/USD etc. This Means that delivery should
take place in 2 business days which is the quickest time that
the banks can ‘settle’ the deal giving both parties
time to organize settlement details, coping with time differences
etc. Although technology has improved the speed with which
transactions can take place, the majority of spot deals are
still for delivery 2 business days after the trade date, which
is known as the value date.
[Top]
VALUE DATE
A trade done on a Monday will show a value date on Wednesday:
| Trade
Date |
Mon |
Tue |
Wed |
Thurs |
Fri |
| Value
Date |
Wed |
Thurs |
Fri |
Mon |
Tue |
|
If a holiday falls in the country of one or both of the currencies
involved in the trade, then the spot value date will back
one day – in this case to Thursday.
[Top]
Spot quotations
Spot quotations are bid (buy) and offer
or ask (sell) rates at which a market maker will
buy and sell the base currency against another
currency.
The table below explains these Spot FX terms used commonly
in the market in a little more detail.
| The
Big Figure |
This
part of the price is not quoted by dealers, The
Big Figure is only mentioned when it is necessary
to confirm the trade or in extremely volatile
markets. |
| Pips |
The
smallest increment a price moves. Spot traders
quote the last two digits of the prices. Pips
are also known as points. |
| The
Spread |
This
is the variable unit difference between the Bid
and Offer prices-in this case 10 pips. |
| Bid |
This
is the price at which the market maker is prepared
to buy the base currency. |
| Offer |
This
is the price at which the market-maker is prepared
to sell the base currency. |
|
[Top]
Direct and indirect
currency rates
Direct and indirect currency rates are quoted using
the usual letter combinations but some of the currency
pairs have their own terms:
GBP/USD is known as Cable
EUR/USD is known as Euro
USD/CHF is known as Dollar-Swissy
USD/DEM is known as Dollar-D-mark
The table here summarizes the Bid and Offer arrangements
using an example for USD/CHF, which is known as Dollar-Swissy
and for Sterling Pound in the second table known as
Cable.
| Quote:USD/CHF |
Market-maker
intends to |
Market-taker
can |
| Bid |
Buy
USD
Sell CHF |
Sell
USD
Buy CHF |
Value
Date |
Sell
USD
Buy CHF |
Buy
USD
Sell CHF |
|
| Quote:GBP/USD |
Market-maker
intends to |
Market-taker
can |
| Bid |
Buy
GBP
Sell USD |
Sell
GBP
Buy USD |
Value
Date |
Sell
GBP
Buy USD |
Buy
GBP
Sell USD |
|
The Market maker intends buying low and selling high.
The above examples may be decided in European or American
terms or as Direct or Indirect quotations respectively.
[Top]
American terms or indirect
quotation
This is when a fixed amount of domestic currency is quoted
against a variable amount of foreign currency- it is also
known as an inverse quotation. Even though GBP now uses
a decimal system the indirect quotation remains. Other
countries using American terms include the New Zealand
dollar (NZD), Australian dollar (AUD), Irish Punt (IEP)
ands European Currency Unit (XEU).
Example:
A GBP/USD rate of 1.6870 means the following:
1.One GBP can be exchanged for 1.6870 US dollars.
2. The GBP is the base currency and the USD is the counter
currency.
3. If you buy GBP then you sell USD and vice versa.

|