: : : Spot Market : : :

Precious Metals I Value Date I Spot Quotations I
Direct and Indirect Currency Rates
I

American terms or Indirect Quotation

Foreign exchange is the single largest market in the world. More than USD 1.4 trillion is traded in the FX market each day, according to the Bank of International Settlements, which monitors FX market activity.

To put this figure in perspective, the sum total of global trade in physical goods in one year accounts for the same amount of trade as a few days in the foreign exchange market. Hence the FX market is much, much bigger than all the other markets put together.

Foreign exchange markets allow participants to exchange one currency for another. One counter party buys specified currency from the other counter party in exchange for another currency. The relative amount of the two currencies is determined by the foreign exchange rate between the 2 currencies. Foreign exchange is traded over-the-counter (OTC), operating worldwide, 24 hours a day.

In the FX market, trades can be executed in variable amounts, dates and denominations. There are no standardized contract sizes or dates.

Ondon is the world’s largest FX trading centre, followed by New York and Singapore. Trading tends to occur in a center during its normal working hours. As a result, trading starts in Asia, then moves to London at the end of the Asian working day and continues in New York at the end of the working day in London.

Fx markets are driven by a number of factors, such as economic fundamentals, the current demand for particular currencies, news events and market sentiment. Many short-term changes in exchange rates are a result of what the market expects to happen to economies or as a result of market sentiment. Dealers may believe that a currency will move in one particular direction based on factors such as:

  • What the charts are showing – what has the recent trend been?
  • What dealers in the market are saying?
  • Whether or not the market is long or short - how the market is feeling
  • What the central banks are doing
  • Whether the dealer has made or lost money recently

Dealers act in anticipation of or an actual news of the markets. Rumours too have a powerful effect on the market. It is often the case that the market reacts to a rumour as if it is an established fact – once the rumour is confirmed or denied the market settles down. The way the markets react to rumours is summarized by the phrase: Buy the rumour: sell the fact.

Precious metals

For thousands of years, gold has been prized for its rarity, its beauty, and above all, for its unique characteristics as a store of value. Nations may rise and fall, currencies come and go, but gold endures. In today's uncertain climate, many investors turn to gold because it is a "currency without borders" - an important and secure asset that can be tapped at any time, under virtually any circumstances. But there is another side to gold that is equally important, and that is its day-to-day performance as a stabilizing influence for investment portfolios. These advantages are currently attracting considerable attention from financial professionals and sophisticated investors worldwide.

Historical investment performance of the precious metals sector:

  • Gold’s high aboveground stocks, relative to other commodities produced primarily for consumption, highlights gold’s role as a monetary asset.
  • Gold’s success as a monetary asset depends on the strength of competing world currencies. Real interest rates, geopolitical risks, and confidence in government are key issues, which define gold’s performance relative to currencies.
  • Gold’s more complex fundamentals mean that gold can hedge against a richer set of risks, including risks related to currency instability, which may or may not accompany periods of high inflation.
  • The most aggressive case for gold allocations occur when gold rises in terms of all major currencies, indicating gold’s higher relative attractiveness to currencies as a monetary asset.

Conclusion:

  • The conventional wisdom regarding gold is misplaced. The recent overshadowing of monetary aspects by supply and demand factors has led some market participants to conclude that gold is no longer a monetary asset. Gold still functions as a monetary asset, although it has not fared well against competing currencies in recent history. That gold’s monetary role is currently dormant does not mean that is has permanently ceased. Monetary/non-monetary paradigm remains useful to distinguish gold from other commodity groups. Relative to annual production, gold’s high aboveground stocks (held as a store of value) reinforces its monetary role. Gold cannot simply be lumped together with other investments such as agricultural, energy, food, and livestock products as “commodity investments.”

    Gold’s more complex fundamentals mean that gold can hedge against a richer set of risks, including risks related to currency instability that may or may not accompany periods of high inflation. The most aggressive case for gold allocations occur when gold rises in terms of all major currencies, indicating gold’s higher relative attractiveness to currencies as a monetary asset.

Spot traders usually specialize in a specific currency pair such as UDS/CHF, GBP/USD etc. This Means that delivery should take place in 2 business days which is the quickest time that the banks can ‘settle’ the deal giving both parties time to organize settlement details, coping with time differences etc. Although technology has improved the speed with which transactions can take place, the majority of spot deals are still for delivery 2 business days after the trade date, which is known as the value date.

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VALUE DATE
A trade done on a Monday will show a value date on Wednesday:

Trade Date
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thurs
Fri
Value Date
Wed
Thurs
Fri
Mon
Tue

If a holiday falls in the country of one or both of the currencies involved in the trade, then the spot value date will back one day – in this case to Thursday.

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Spot quotations

Spot quotations are bid (buy) and offer or ask (sell) rates at which a market maker will buy and sell the base currency against another currency.

The table below explains these Spot FX terms used commonly in the market in a little more detail.

The Big Figure
This part of the price is not quoted by dealers, The Big Figure is only mentioned when it is necessary to confirm the trade or in extremely volatile markets.
Pips
The smallest increment a price moves. Spot traders quote the last two digits of the prices. Pips are also known as points.
The Spread
This is the variable unit difference between the Bid and Offer prices-in this case 10 pips.
Bid
This is the price at which the market maker is prepared to buy the base currency.
Offer
This is the price at which the market-maker is prepared to sell the base currency.

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Direct and indirect currency rates

Direct and indirect currency rates are quoted using the usual letter combinations but some of the currency pairs have their own terms:

GBP/USD is known as Cable
EUR/USD is known as Euro
USD/CHF is known as Dollar-Swissy
USD/DEM is known as Dollar-D-mark


The table here summarizes the Bid and Offer arrangements using an example for USD/CHF, which is known as Dollar-Swissy and for Sterling Pound in the second table known as Cable.

Quote:USD/CHF
Market-maker intends to
Market-taker can
Bid
Buy USD
Sell CHF
Sell USD
Buy CHF
Value Date
Sell USD
Buy CHF
Buy USD
Sell CHF

Quote:GBP/USD
Market-maker intends to
Market-taker can
Bid
Buy GBP
Sell USD
Sell GBP
Buy USD
Value Date
Sell GBP
Buy USD
Buy GBP
Sell USD

The Market maker intends buying low and selling high.
The above examples may be decided in European or American terms or as Direct or Indirect quotations respectively.

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American terms or indirect quotation
This is when a fixed amount of domestic currency is quoted against a variable amount of foreign currency- it is also known as an inverse quotation. Even though GBP now uses a decimal system the indirect quotation remains. Other countries using American terms include the New Zealand dollar (NZD), Australian dollar (AUD), Irish Punt (IEP) ands European Currency Unit (XEU).

Example:
A GBP/USD rate of 1.6870 means the following:
1.One GBP can be exchanged for 1.6870 US dollars.
2. The GBP is the base currency and the USD is the counter currency.
3. If you buy GBP then you sell USD and vice versa.